Freedman’s Nfl Week 4 Trends & Early Bets
The overall trend for the team was winning more often than not, to the tune of a .688 winning percentage. If you simply bet on the Bucs to win each game last year, you’d have cashed 11 Sports Betting Game winning tickets and lost out on five others. That’s how many averaging rushing yards per game the Bears‘ defense were giving up going into Week 9, ranking them only No. 24 against the run in the NFL. They have been weakened up front and the Steelers‘ offensive line has played better of late. Don’t expect the Steelers to deviate much from feeding Harris often between and around the tackles. LA got a surprise win, the Eagles absorbed a shocking loss.
The Eagles will likely lean on the arm and legs of second-year quarterback Jalen Hurts who is off to an excellent start of 2021, completing 67.2% of his passes. Rookie wideout DeVonta Smith leads with 15 targets in the first two weeks, and that trend will likely continue against the Cowboys. I would suggest backing Smith’s any-time touchdown at +180 on SI Sportsbook. This week, the Eagles received a tough blow on defense when it was learned that Pro Bowl defensive end Brandon Graham suffered a season-ending torn Achilles injury. Expect running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard to have solid games against an Eagles‘ run defense that allows an average of 120.5 rushing yards over the first two weeks.
Ravens Betting Trends And Insights
HC Kliff Kingsbury has flashed at points in his first year with the team, and quarterback Kyler Murray could win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award with a big informative post game. In fact, Chiefs games have an NFL-worst home/away total differential of -7.8 points. In Kansas City, NFL games rank No. 27 with a mere 43.3 points. On the road, Chiefs games blow out with 51.0 points, the No. 2 mark in the league. This is how often the Bills leave the yard on average this season.
Buccaneers Vs Dolphins Betting Angles
Games featuring Seattle have gone over the point total just once this season. The Seahawks’ offense ranks 18th in the NFL at 23.3 points per game. The Seahawks are 27th in the NFL in third-down percentage (32.8%), and will be looking to stay on the field against the seventh-ranked defense in that category, owned by the Saints (35.2%). The Saints’ rushing game ranks 10th in the NFL (125.8 yards per game), while the Seahawks allow 140.8 per game (30th-ranked run defense). The Seahawks pass rush is one of the NFL’s worst, ranking 28th with 10 sacks this season, while the Saints offense is one of the best at protecting the passer, giving up only nine .
The Cardinals moneyline is seeing 90% of the handle on 82% of the bets. The Los Angeles Rams are the most publicly backed team of the week against the New York Giants. The Dallas Cowboys are seeing a wide majority of the action in their game against the New England Patriots.
And they don’t play down to the level of their underdog opponents. Usingour Bet Labs database, I have uncovered some intriguing NFL trends for 13 games this week. The Bills would play well again to leave another former AFC playoff-level nemesis on the road.
Top Public Bets
The Browns are ATS and the Patriots are 5-4 ATS, so both teams have played close to expectation so far. Dolphins are 0-6 ATS in their last six games when playing at home vs. the Ravens. New York is on all sorts of rest after being on a bye last week. The Buccaneers were one of last week’s surprise losers, falling as almost a double-digit favorite to Washington.
Cincy never wins here and never wins on the road, but they have been terrific ATS as a road team (10-4 ATS past 14 games). The FanDuel online sportsbook and betting app represents the evolution of daily fantasy sports sites into full-on sports wagering. Seahawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games when playing as the underdog. Seahawks are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games played in week 6. Los Angeles Rams head coach Sean McVay owns this matchup with the Cardinals and fellow young head coach, Kliff Kingsbury. He is 4-0 straight-up and against the spread in this matchup between the two coaches.
Week 2 Bonus Nfl Predictions
Prior to this stretch, it had failed to cover in six straight games. When we analyze a trend for a team, it often has no bearing on their current opponent. If “Team A” statistically loses on the Moneyline when playing on Monday on the road, the trend is to bet AGAINST Team A. It doesn’t matter that they are playing “Team B”. Our Top Trends tool uses a comprehensive statistical database to analyze trends and make recommendations based on historical team data. Beyond just simple spreads and totals, this tool also offers top analysis for the moneyline, teaser, halftime, and run lines. The “unit” designation indicates how many betting units up (+) or down (-) a player would be had they wagered one unit on the given trend and team.